Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.049900 0.058173 0.067260 0.077964 0.090207 0.103756 0.119866
2025-05-11 0.037312 0.048099 0.061044 0.077648 0.098300 0.123053 0.154873
2025-05-18 0.028239 0.039804 0.054807 0.075530 0.103217 0.138713 0.187411
2025-05-25 0.022126 0.033792 0.050015 0.073932 0.107937 0.154128 0.221098
2025-06-01 0.018242 0.029941 0.047246 0.074266 0.114823 0.172730 0.260744
2025-06-08 0.014784 0.025969 0.043500 0.072366 0.117905 0.185940 0.293841
2025-06-15 0.013228 0.024657 0.043494 0.075963 0.129405 0.212367 0.348736
2025-06-22 0.011314 0.022356 0.041471 0.075916 0.134973 0.230070 0.391785
2025-06-29 0.009460 0.019796 0.038570 0.073887 0.136864 0.241885 0.426326
2025-07-06 0.008098 0.017890 0.036497 0.072935 0.140316 0.256354 0.466244
2025-07-13 0.007555 0.017494 0.037127 0.076917 0.152801 0.287083 0.536067
2025-07-20 0.006942 0.016835 0.037136 0.079678 0.163278 0.315135 0.603486
2025-07-27 0.005915 0.015118 0.034834 0.077733 0.164897 0.327901 0.645661
2025-08-03 0.005151 0.013851 0.033272 0.077065 0.168898 0.345388 0.697999
2025-08-10 0.004380 0.012406 0.031095 0.074796 0.169403 0.356282 0.738947
2025-08-17 0.003768 0.011228 0.029322 0.073134 0.170913 0.369159 0.784657
2025-08-24 0.003364 0.010504 0.028483 0.073427 0.176544 0.390598 0.848721
2025-08-31 0.002895 0.009500 0.026803 0.071530 0.177153 0.401842 0.893266
2025-09-07 0.002754 0.009403 0.027376 0.075079 0.190310 0.440172 0.995956
2025-09-14 0.002462 0.008795 0.026532 0.075029 0.195187 0.461356 1.064636
2025-09-21 0.002129 0.007980 0.024999 0.073019 0.195220 0.472038 1.111881
2025-09-28 0.001879 0.007373 0.023937 0.072077 0.197690 0.488243 1.172200
2025-10-05 0.001817 0.007391 0.024663 0.076015 0.212590 0.533554 1.299614